Notes from a cluttered mind

Episode 7: Especially especially the Duke

1. With just over two weeks to go before election day, here are two things I’m noticing: first, the Harris campaign and its legacy media Praetorian guard are ramping up the hysteria — with James Carville, in a show of predictably rancid hyperbole, even comparing a Trump campaign event to a Hitler rally; and second, certain pollsters are potentially torching their credibility very close to election day by offering misleading comparisons or dropping stale polling data — both in order to keep the Harris campaign looking like it continues to hold a slight lead, pace some of the 2020 election’s most accurate pollsters.

   

   There are any number of reasons they might be doing this, but the one that concerns me most is that they need the data to appear close to the margins of error so that they have room to fortify the results in a way that appears plausible based on polling results close to election day.

   Harry Enten, for instance, is using misleading numbers to suggest that Trump, while he has made significant inroads with blacks and Hispanics, is nevertheless losing ground with his white working class base — even as union support for Democrats is down. And the Washington Post-Schar poll released today is based on polling data from September 30-October 15. Observes pollster Rich Baris:

   This is not a legitimate way to conduct a poll and everyone of us need to speak as one against this nonsense.

   Polls are not conducted this long and they are not withheld like this.

   This is not acceptable behavior.

   […]

   There is no legitimate reason for pollsters to release data nearly a MONTH stale.

   Opinions change, though not as dramatically as polls lead you to believe. But the polling environment does change, as do levels of response bias.

   Two words: ROLLING AVERAGE

   …while former conservative Congressional candidate David Giglio asks:

   MSM Pollsters will now literally do anything to produce even the smallest leads for Harris including corrupting current data with month old results.

   Sad and dishonest.

   Where is the integrity?

   Where, indeed?

   My advice is to find yourself a trusted pollster. Then, trust that pollster’s methodology and transparency. And vote. This election — though still pretty close — is Trump’s to lose, I do believe. And this may include the popular vote, as well. The Senate will go Republican.

   The House makeup, along with the Democratic machine’s ability to rig the system, are really the only questions left that need to be answered. That is, if we go by where things stand today — unburdened by what can be, should, you know, any pipes burst or truckloads of swing state ballots once again magically materialize at just the right time for Democrats.

2. The Yankees and the Dodgers will square off in this year’s World Series. I’m a fan of Mickey’s raw talent and boyish, Oklahoma charm. But the Duke is my guy. There’s something magical about Flatbush.

   

   I’ve got the Dodgers in 6 — though they’d be a far better team had they not fucked Trevor Bauer the way they did. With MLB itself potentially colluding against his return to the Majors. So if the Dodgers lose, I won’t be all torn up.

3. For whatever reason, both the left and the increasingly absurd silk-stocking fops in what counts as the Never Trump “intelligentsia,” are very upset about the former President’s campaign sojourn at a Pennsylvania McDonald’s fryer and drive-thru window. The Atlantic’s David Frum, for instance, was very keen to have us know that Donald Trump hadn’t actually quit being a billionaire real estate mogul and Presidential candidate in order to sign on full time as a Mickey D’s burgermeister. While Jonah Goldberg of The Dispatch — who days ago joined the Harris campaign in questioning whether Trump had the energy and stamina to complete the campaign — pivoted to questioning why anyone is getting excited that a tired old man who has neither the energy nor the stamina to complete his presidential campaign, took time out from being exhausted and ready to give up his electoral ambitions to cook, bag, and serve fries to McDonalds’ customers.

   It truly is a mystery!

   

4. Gerald Ford’s daughter had endorsed Kamala Harris for President, per Liz Cheney. Now all the Harris-Walz campaign need do is grab the coveted Nixon-Agnew endorsement, and that should just about seal it for the Democrats!

5. Because it’s that time of year, here are “10 Things You Didn’t Know About the Exorcist.”

   Not me, though. I knew all of these trivia bits. But no worries. I’m a giver.

   

6. There is no way Nick Fuentes isn’t an op. If you haven’t caught on yet, I pity you. And you deserve your spot on the Fed watch list. The “groypers” have always been a gateway drug to being turned by government agencies into the kinds of people who will try to fake kidnap Governor Whitmer to anchor a socio-political narrative the government wants entrenched.

   There’s also a pretty good chance he has a couple hard drives somewhere absolutely larded with the filthiest of gay porn. Not to kink shame him. But, well, c’mon.

   

7. 

   Unconscionable! Such skullduggery must not be allowed to stand!

   

   The left is going to lose their minds if Trump wins.

   Don’t be caught unprotected and unawares. I like to celebrate my victories hanging out with 10 mm Honeybadgers. Just in case. You can never be too careful.

   ****

   Buy me a cup of coffee? Lunch? A sports car? Or buy me some beer. I avoid prescription opioids.